European Grand Prix Preview

European Grand Prix Preview
by Max Galvin
England

This weekend marks the end of the first set of fly-away
Grands Prix and the start of the European season. The first three GP's of the
year may not prove to be an accurate yard stick for the rest of the season as
a rule, but for once I think the pattern is set.
Team and driver prospects
Rothmans Williams-Renault
The chassis is currently the best in F1 and the engine is performing as
expected. The team had a successful test at Jerez
and are still at the top (at least in testing) so unless they make a big
mistake, they have to be favourites for another win.
Damon Hill is leading the World Championship, having won all
three rounds so far. Damon feels that the odds are stacking against him and
that he can't win for ever. Last year he ran quite well at the Nurburgring,
but didn't exactly set the track alight with the fastest laps either. Things
have never looked so good for Damon but will the pressure get to him again? Win!
Jacques Villeneuve has the opportunity to shine at Williams with
less pressure than his team-mate and seems almost certain to keep his seat for
next season. Apart from a superb debut, the reigning PPG Indycar Champion
has been disadvantaged by not knowing the last two circuits as well as his
opponents. The Nurburgring is another track that Jacques is not familiar with
and the best thing he can do is try to get a good grid slot, keep sight of the
leaders and wait for mechanical gremlins to diminish the field. Podium position
possible.
Mild Seven Benetton-Renault
Benetton have not started their season in the best way, and the loss of
Schumacher has obviously effected them to some extent. That said, the chassis
isn't bad and the team of Alesi and Berger is a good one. If Williams fail,
the spoils are theirs for the taking. After a virtual whitewashing in the
first three races they will be keen to start winning again and will be putting
all their considerable resources into making the B196 into a winning car.
Jean Alesi is off to his best start in years, yet with the
Williams in front, he seems to have a small chance at best for taking the
Championship. Always fast and brilliant in the wet, Jean seems to have managed
to curb his reckless side (after a talking to by Flavio Briatore, the team boss),
and should be good for a podium position.
Gerhard Berger is carrying on in typical Berger fashion. Although
never regarded to be as fast as his team-mates he can never be counted out
completely and will drag the car round. Definitely a team player who will
settle for points if he can't make the podium (and may have to).
Ferrari
The F310 is proving to be a bit of a dog (mind you you can get Schumacher
to say something nice about dogs) and is in drastic need of work to get it up
to pace. The drivers dislike the car intensely and it is clearly not a match
for it's two main rivals. The engine is underdeveloped and looks like it might
be good eventually, but is still a long way from the Renault. A redesign is
rumoured and with mutterings about John Barnard being blamed for the fiasco,
will things improve?
Micheal Schumacher is, without a doubt, the best driver in F1
today, yet it takes all of his skill to take the Ferrari to the front of the
grid. Points are a certainty if he keeps running, but can he?
Eddie Irvine is apparently mystified about Schumachers pace and
doesn't seem to be able to match him. The Irishman landed on his feet with
the Ferrari deal and has taken points in 2 races so far. If the car gets better
Irvine will, but until then he's going to be struggling.
Marlboro McLaren-Mercedes
Oh dear... for the third successive season, McLaren seem doomed to an
empty year. In testing the car flew and Alain Prost believed it to be capable
of great things, yet at the track it has failed to stand out. Ferrari are
rumoured to be getting increased Marlboro sponsorship at the cost of McLaren
so they really have to get it together this year. The Mercedes is good but not
quite up to the standard of the other top engines, especially in the reliability
stakes. Hopefully we won't see any McLaren being overtaken by a Forti as the
MP4/10 was overtaken by a Pacific last year. Wait for the MP4/11B at Monaco to
see any real improvement.
Mika Hakkinen has apparently completely recovered from his
accident at Adelaide and is beating yet another team-mate into submission.
The Finn is one of the fastest drivers in F1 and if his car holds together,
he can't be discounted completely. The problem is that, with so many good cars
in front of him, can he take any points?
David Coulthard is having a dissapointing year in his first of two at
McLaren. Last year he looked the match for Damon Hill, yet has been slower than Mika
for every race and test so far. Another driver who can't be overlooked for a points
finish, he is suffering from the same lack of front-end grip as his team mate and will
not make the points unless the other drivers drop out.
Benson and Hedges Jordan-Peugeot
This season see's Jordan set to move into the Big 4 dispite only having 3
points so far. The engine is the best Peugeot have produced and the chassis is the
best we've seen from Jordan. With big bucks sponsorship and a proper test program,
podiums are likely.
Rubens Barrichello seems to be relishing his new situation at Jordan. An
experienced team-mate and a more relaxed relationship between the drivers has pushed
Rubens back to the front. 1995 was a dissapointing season by his standards but 1996 is
looking to be amazing. A top 3 position was on the cards in Brazil and he looked set
for a good position in Argentina until his retirement. Expect to see him up front
pushing for a podium.
Martin Brundle is another driver having a bad start to the season.
Despite this, Brundle is trying hard to get the car set up as he likes it. Testing at
Silverstone and Pembrey should help him move the setup to something suiting him more.
Martin is often overlooked as he is thought of as very much a number two, yet he is
capable of great races (Magny-Cours in the Ligier and qualifying in Brazil). If he
stays in, he should get some points.
Red Bull Sauber-Ford
A bad start to the season with the new Ford v10 producing less power and being
less reliable than last years. The chassis may be better than last years but without
the engine to back it up they are flogging a dead horse. They are one of the more
successful new teams and deserve their place, but if the engine goes, where will
they be? No points so far but a good chance of points if Frentzen can keep it going.
Heinz-Harald Frentzen is the new Schumacher (not that the old one is
old), or so I'm told. Fast and consistent definitely, but how much of this is because
the team is built around him? Qualifies well but his races are let down by his car.
Possible points but I doubt it.
Johnny Herbert is not a happy man. In two years he's gone from much
admired underdog (at Lotus) to crushed team-mate for talented Germans. Definitely
fast, but with as little test time as he seems to be getting, he has no hope of doing
as well as his team mate. This could be the last year in F1 for The Imp so he'd
better enjoy it while it lasts.
Arrows-Hart
Arrows are in the news a lot recently with TWR's purchase of the Milton Keynes
based team. Arrows have always designed good cars but the performance of this year's
car is largely down to a good engine and Jos Verstappen's driving. Expect a drop in
performance at the power circuits, but they should run well on the bends on the
Nurburgring. (The new colour scheme is red and blue for what it's worth).
Jos Verstapppen is flavour of the moment. An impressive start to the
season as well as a well deserved point in Argentina have marked him as a man to
watch. The car may be good but with at least 10 cars ahead of him, can he score any
points?
Ricardo Rosset hasn't done badly so far but has been eclipsed by his
team-mate and can expect to be for some time. Still a relatively inexperienced driver
(one year in F3000), he is improving all the time but no points will be his unless we
see a repeat of Adelaide 1995.
Tyrrell-Yamaha
Tyrrell's winter testing flattered to deceive again this year. They may have three
points but the power of the new Yamaha is not what they expected and the results are
largely down to the skill of their star driver, Mika Salo. A once great team, they
always promise a lot but rarely deliver. A good test at Silverstone saw them ahead of
Jordan, but can they convert this in a race? A contender for the last point if they are
lucky.
Mika Salo could be a World Champion if he gets the break, but a third
year at Tyrrell is not going to do him any good if he stays for 1997. Fast and
careful, he invariably outqualifies his team-mate and is quick in the races. The car
isn't up there so he will be hoping for a high attrition rate.
Ukyo Katayama seems to have fallen apart since being paired with Mika
Salo. I can remember him holding onto the back of the Williams at Monza in 1994, but
since then he has lost his way a bit. Definitely fast (quicker than Mika at
Silverstone testing), but having trouble in the cockpit of his car (either not seeing
well or not sitting comfortably). No hope for points really.
Ligier-Mugen Honda
Loss of TWR staff and reduced funds are not a good sign for the French team. The
chassis is a neat one and at least on of the drivers is capable of running with the
rest of the mid-field. The Mugen is a good engine with good reliability but there can
be little hope of points unless we lose a lot of runners.
Olivier Panis was supposed to be the next Alain Prost but his days are
numbered unless he leaves Ligier soon. Dominated by Martin Brundle last year, he can't
take a great deal of satisfaction in beating Pedro Diniz and he has to pray for luck
in the races.
Pedro Diniz has a rich father to thank for his position in F1. No real
results in F3000 and a poor year at Forti compared to his team-mate provide him with
little chance for anything this year. Idle boasts about podiums and beating Rubens
Barrichello go to show how little this man knows about his skills and his car. He has
no place in F1 with so much talent around.
Minardi-Ford
The small Italian team are doing as well as can be expected this season. Noda is
out of the frame and with Pedro Lamy looking to be partnered by either Giancarlo
Fisichella or Tarso Marques for the season, they have some good drivers. The chassis
is quite good but the underpowered Ford ED lets them down. No points!
Pedro Lamy is back from his 1994 crash and doing quite well. No
opportunity to shine in the Minardi and generally faster team-mates, he should end his
F1 career this year. No points, no way!
Giancarlo Fisichella drives for Alfa (in the ITC) and Minardi and is fast
in both. Good debut for the team and relaible racing while it lasted. Good driver with
no chance unless he moves teams.
Forti-Ford
The FG03 should be here for the European GP (at least for Badoer) and the Ford Zetec
is good so we should expect to see the Forti's moving ahead of the Minardi's soon.
They have less money that last year, but Badoer is fast and Montermini isn't too bad.
Realisticly, Minardi is the best they can hope for as every other team has a good
chassis/engine combination and are too far ahead. No points (but good luck boys).
Luca Badoer is the eternal pay driver. Stuck in small teams with low
budgets he's got no chance of moving up. As fast as can be expected. No hope!
Andrea Montermini is looking a bit shaky here. A different chassis to his
team-mate added to the fact that he was already slower should give him a worrying
Saturday. Good luck but you've got no chance!
Max Galvin
Send comments to:mjg93@ecs.soton.ac.uk